Pandemija Covid-19 i kriminalitet u Srbiji 2020. godine

Autori

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5937/crimen2103277L

Ključne reči:

pandemija; Covid-19; kriminalitet; prognoza; kriminologija životne sredine

Apstrakt

Predmet rada je analiza stanja kriminaliteta u Srbiji 2020. godine sa ciljem utvrđivanja eventualnog uticaja pandemije korona virusa (Covid-19) na kriminalitet. U tu svrhu korišćeni su različiti podaci. Autorka najpre vrši analizu stope prijavljenih lica za celokupni kriminalitet u državi kao i po regionima, a predstavljena je i stopa pojedinih krivičnih dela. Radi dobijanja preciznije slike, predstavljeni su i podaci iz policijskih evidencija za najveće gradove u Srbiji po mesecima u 2020. godini. Pored toga, urađena je i prognoza kretanja pojedinih krivičnih dela za grad Beograd i tako dobijeni podaci upoređeni sa stvarno registrovanim krivičnim delima. Zaključeno je da je došlo do smanjenja kriminaliteta i to u većoj meri kod imovinskih nego nasilnih krivičnih dela. Procenat smanjenja varira i među regionima i među analiziranim gradovima. Što se tiče prognoziranja pojedinih krivičnih dela, najveće procentualne razlike i to upravo u periodu vanrednog stanja ustanovljene su između predviđenih i registrovanih krivičnih prijava za zloupotrebu položaja odgovornog lica, krađu i nasilničko ponašanje.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Reference

Alotaibi, Ibrahim N., et al. 2019. "How Well Does Western Environmental Theory Explain Crime in the Arabian Context? The Case Study of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia." International Criminal Justice Review 29. https://doi.org/10.1177/1057567717709497

Ashby, M. P. J. 2020. "Initial Evidence on the Relationship Between the Coronavirus Pandemic and Crime in the United States." Crime Science 9, no. 6. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-020-00117-6

Berrebi, C., A. Karlinsky, and H. Yonah. 2021. "Individual and Community Behavioral Responses to Natural Disasters." Natural Hazards 105. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-020-04365-2

Boman IV, J. H., and O. Gallupe. 2020. "Has COVID-19 Changed Crime? Crime Rates in the United States During the Pandemic." American Journal of Criminal Justice 45. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12103-020-09551-3

Boxall, H., et al. 2018. "Understanding Domestic Violence Incidents Using Crime Scripts Analysis." Trends and Issues in Crime and Criminal Justice, no. 558. https://doi.org/10.52922/ti110618

Brantingham, P. J., and P. J. Brantingham. 2010. "Nodes, Paths and Edges, Considerations on the Complexity of Crime and the Physical Environment (1993)." In Classics in Environmental Criminology, edited by M. A. Andresen, P. J. Brantingham, and J. Bryan Kinney, Burnaby. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0272-4944(05)80212-9

Brookman, F. 2005. Understanding Homicide. London: Sage. https://doi.org/10.4135/9781446216361

Bruinsma, G. J. N., and S. D. Johnson. 2018. "Environmental Criminology, Scope, History and State of the Art." In The Oxford Handbook of Environmental Criminology, edited by G. J. N. Bruinsma and S. D. Johnson, Oxford: Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190279707.013.38

Cannon, C. E. B., et al. 2021. "COVID-19, Intimate Partner Violence and Communication Ecologies." American Behavioral Scientist 65, no. 7. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764221992826

Cohen, L. E., and M. Felson. 2010. "Social Change and Crime Rate Trends, A Routine Activity Approach (1979)." In Classics in Environmental Criminology, edited by M. A. Andresen, P. J. Brantingham, and J. Bryan Kinney, Burnaby.

Elman, A., et al. 2020. "Effects of the COVID-19 Outbreak on Elder Maltreatment and Response in New York City: Initial Lessons." Journal of Applied Gerontology 39, no. 7. https://doi.org/10.1177/0733464820924853

Esposito, Marie M., and A. King. 2021. "New York City: Covid-19 and Quarantine and Crime." Journal of Criminal Psychology 11, no. 3. https://doi.org/10.1108/JCP-10-2020-0046

Felson, M. 2011. Zločin i svakodnevni život. Beograd: Zavod za udžbenike.

Frailing, K., and D. Harper Wood. 2017. Toward a Criminology of Disaster, What We Know and What We Need to Find Out. New York: Springer.

Harries, K. D. 2010. "Intraurban Crime Patterns." In Classics in Environmental Criminology, edited by M. A. Andresen, P. J. Brantingham, and J. Bryan Kinney, Burnaby.

Hombrados García, J. 2020. "The Lasting Effects of Natural Disasters on Property Crime: Evidence from the 2010 Chilean Earthquake." Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 175. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2020.04.008

Ignjatović, Đ. 2009. Teorije u kriminologiji. Beograd: Institut za kriminološka i sociološka istraživanja.

Kennedy, J. P., M. Rorie, and M. L. Benson. 2021. "COVID-19 Frauds: An Exploratory Study of Victimization During a Global Crisis." Criminology and Public Policy. https://doi.org/10.1111/1745-9133.12554

Kolarić, D. 2021. "Jedan Osvrt na Primenu Zakona o Sprečavanju Nasilja u Porodici u Republici Srbiji." In Kaznena Reakcija u Srbiji XI, edited by Đ. Ignjatović, Beograd: Fakultet za kriminološke i socijalne studije.

Korkmaz, S. 2021. "Youth Intimate Partner Violence." In The Routledge International Handbook of Domestic Violence and Abuse, edited by J. Devaney et al., New York: Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429331053-15

Kourti, A., et al. 2021. "Domestic Violence during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Systematic Review." Trauma, Violence, and Abuse. https://doi.org/10.1177/15248380211038690

Langton, S., A. Dixon, and G. Farrel. 2020. "Six Months In: Pandemic Crime Trends in England and Wales." Crime Science 10, no. 6. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/t7ne8

Leal, W. E., et al. 2021. "Where, When and By Whom: An Exploratory Analysis of COVID-19 Public Health Violations." Journal of Contemporary Criminal-Justice. https://doi.org/10.1177/10439862211034321

Lukić, N. 2021. Kriminalitet Kompanija. Beograd: Zavod za udžbenike.

McDowall, D., C. Loftin, and M. Pate. 2012. "Seasonal Cycles in Crime and Their Variability." Journal of Quantitative Criminology 28. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-011-9145-7

Mitchell Miller, J., and A. Blumstein. 2020. "Crime, Justice and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Toward a National Research Agenda." American Journal of Criminal Justice 45. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12103-020-09555-z

Newton, A. 2018. "Macro-Level Generators of Crime, Including Parks, Stadiums, and Transit Stations." In The Oxford Handbook of Environmental Criminology, edited by G. J. N. Bruinsma and S. D. Johnson, Oxford: Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190279707.013.16

Nivette, A. E., et al. 2021. "A Global Analysis of the Impact of Covid-19 Stay-at-Home Restrictions on Crime." Nature Human Behaviour 5.

Nogami, T. 2015. "The Myth of Increased Crime in Japan: A False Perception of Crime Frequency in Post-Disaster Situations." International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.07.007

Payne, B. K. 2020. "Criminals Work from Home During Pandemics Too: A Public Health Approach to Respond to Fraud and Crimes Against Those 50 and Above." American Journal of Criminal Justice 45. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12103-020-09532-6

Payne, J. L., A. Morgan, and A. R. Piquero. 2021. "Exploring Regional Variability in the Short-Term Impact of Covid-19 on Property Crime in Queensland, Australia." Crime Science 10. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-020-00136-3

Rengert, G. F., and J. Wasilchick. 2010. "The Use of Space in Burglary." In Classics in Environmental Criminology, edited by M. A. Andresen, P. J. Brantingham, and J. Bryan Kinney, Burnaby.

Reynald, D. M. 2018. "Guardianship." In The Oxford Handbook of Environmental Criminology, edited by G. J. N. Bruinsma and S. D. Johnson, Oxford: Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190279707.013.21

Stickle, B., and M. Felson. 2020. "Crime Rates in a Pandemic: The Largest Criminological Experiment in History." American Journal of Criminal Justice 45. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12103-020-09546-0

Summers, L., and R. T. Guerette. 2018. "The Individual Perspective." In The Oxford Handbook of Environmental Criminology, edited by G. J. N. Bruinsma and S. D. Johnson, Oxford: Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190279707.013.3

Tompson, L., and T. Coupe. 2018. "Time and Opportunity." In The Oxford Handbook of Environmental Criminology, edited by G. J. N. Bruinsma and S. D. Johnson, Oxford: Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190279707.013.19

Vatnar, Karin Bø S., C. Friestad, and S. Bjørkly. 2021. "Intimate Partner Homicide." In The Routledge International Handbook of Domestic Violence and Abuse, edited by J. Devaney et al., New York: Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429331053-28

Weerman, F. M., et al. 2018. "Studying Situational Effects of Setting Characteristics, Research Examples from Study of Peers, Activities and Neighborhoods." In The Oxford Handbook of Environmental Criminology, edited by G. J. N. Bruinsma and S. D. Johnson, Oxford: Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190279707.013.20

Downloads

Objavljeno

28.01.2022

Kako citirati

Lukić, Natalija. 2022. „Pandemija Covid-19 I Kriminalitet U Srbiji 2020. Godine“. Crimen 12 (3):277-300. https://doi.org/10.5937/crimen2103277L.

Broj časopisa

God. 12 Br. 3 (2021): COVID-19 i krivično pravosuđe

Sekcija

Članci

Licenca

Sva prava zadržana (c) 2022 Natalija Lukić

Creative Commons License

Ovaj rad je pod Creative Commons Autorstvo 4.0 Internacionalna licenca.

Autori zadržavaju autorska prava i daju časopisu pravo prvog publikovanja rada, što omogućava drugima da dele rad uz priznanje autorstva i izvornog objavljivanja u ovom časopisu.